Megatron May Retire But He Isnt Washed Up

Based on data from Pro-football-reference.com 2Antonio Brown27PIT6,016 6Demaryius Thomas28DEN4,330 5Calvin Johnson30DET4,355 8Eric Decker28NYJ4,142 4A.J. Green27CIN4,816 Projected future yards, active wide receivers age 25+ And though 2015 certainly wasn’t the best year of Johnson’s career, he hasn’t shown any unusual swings in his production — even the “cliff” after his record-setting 1,964 yards in 2012 is consistent with regression to the mean (not to mention he missed several games yet scored far more touchdowns) — and is still well above average.Retirements by receivers still producing at a level as high as Johnson are almost nonexistent. The closest example is probably Packers receiver Sterling Sharpe, who had to retire after a severe neck injury at age 29. Sharpe finished his career with 8,134 receiving yards and 65 receiving touchdowns, while Johnson has 11,619 receiving yards and 83 receiving touchdowns. Johnson’s total is actually the second-most yards by a receiver by age 30 since the merger, and most of the other top receivers on that list still had thousands of yards ahead of them: (Note that combining Johnson’s current receiving yards with his projections would put him ahead of Terrell Owens for second on the all-time yards list behind Rice, though Larry Fitzgerald and Brandon Marshall both project even higher totals than Johnson.)If Johnson ultimately decides to leave, good for him. If he ultimately decides to stay, good for football. 10Larry Fitzgerald32ARI3,957 Of course, both of these curves are skewed by Jerry Rice. Moreover, Johnson has had to shoulder a heavy burden in his career. So, I experimented with a number of variables to predict production among NFL players in their late 20s and beyond (call it back-of-the-envelope modeling). I found that — in addition to age — the most recent season is the most significant predictor, but that both past performance and burden are statistically meaningful as well.2I wanted to account for all of present season performance, past performance, how explosive the player has been, and how much of a load they’ve had to carry — all while remaining predictive and statistically sound — in a short period of time. Ultimately, the model that paid some tribute to all of those factors and performed best among those I tested was a linear model using age, yards and TDs gained in the present year, total TDs prior to the current year, and total receptions prior to and including the current year: lm(aftYds ~ Age + Yds + TD + cumTDs + thruRec, data=wrseas[Year<=2011 & Age>=25]. There is likely much room to improve on this, but it works as a first pass.With all of this taken into account, the balance of Johnson’s career projects to be the fifth-most productive among those of active NFL receivers age 25 and older: 3Brandon Marshall31NYJ5,050 1Julio Jones26ATL6,213 Further, Johnson’s 1,214 yards this season are the 14th-most for a 30-year-old since the merger. Production as a 30-year-old is a pretty good predictor of future career success for receivers, and it also suggests that Johnson might have 4,000-plus yards left in him: 7Doug Baldwin27SEA4,293 This rumor has been around for a while, but ESPN reported more details Sunday about the Calvin Johnson retirement saga, citing sources who suggest Johnson is “content” with his decision to call it quits. Johnson may have his reasons — health-related or otherwise — to retire, and he can do what he pleases. (I, for one, enjoy seeing players come and go for the sheer information value of it all.) But whatever is going on, it should be clear this isn’t a matter of Megatron’s career having run its natural course.Johnson, who won’t turn 31 until September, would be one of the most shocking retirements since fellow Detroit legend Barry Sanders bowed out of the league after the 1998 season. But Sanders – also 30 at the time and considered by some to be in his prime – had just matched the lowest yards per attempt of his career for a 5-11 team. And more importantly, he was a running back. Running backs don’t age nearly as well as receivers.Since the 1970 merger, there have been 294 seasons of 1,200-plus rushing yards and just 24 of them came from running backs aged 30 or older. Meanwhile, there have been 258 seasons of 1,200-plus receiving yards, with 56 by players aged 30 or older. While most starting receivers are usually in their mid-to-late 20s, we do start seeing significant attrition around the 30-year mark. It isn’t surprising that non-productive older receivers are quickly replaced by younger, cheaper alternatives. But for those with the skill and good fortune to stick around, there isn’t any drop-off in average performance.Here’s how Johnson compares to the gaggle of receivers who started the majority of a season since 19701I know there are more advanced wide receiver statistics than “yards,” but I’m not certain any are significantly more predictive of future career prospects.: 9Jeremy Maclin27KAN4,069 RANKPLAYERAGETEAMYARDS read more

Hypertension Week events come to Provo today

first_img Related Items:hypertension week, smart grocery store TCIG Recognizes World Hypertension Day With Scheduled Events Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Recommended for youcenter_img Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, 21 May 2015 – Providenciales will today see the Ministry of Health and Human Services set up at Smart Grocery Store down town as it continues activities in commemoration of Hypertension Week. Free testings and advice on lifestyle choices and changes will be available from 10am to 2pm at no charge to the general public. Hypertension Week activities begin in North & Middle Caicos Tuesdaylast_img

Heritage month packed with culture

first_img Heritage Month in TCI starts in South Caicos Recommended for you Related Items:Minister portia smith, national heritage month National Heritage Month ends Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp National Heritage Month Events featured in all islands Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, 16 Sept 2015 – Minister of Tourism, Culture & Environment, Hon. Porsha Smith in her address during the House of Assembly meeting on Monday, spoke about the upcoming events slated to take place during the month of October for National Heritage Month. The Minister said National Heritage month gives TC Islanders an opportunity to celebrate a rich culture. The entire month of October is being dedicated to celebrating dialect, cuisine, art, history and the way forward as a country. This year’s theme is ‘Living Our Culture, Securing Our Heritage’ Giving the world a sense of what TCI represents while nurturing our own and the beauty it beholds.”As for the activities, the month of October is looking to be packed with down home culture beginning October 1, 2015 with an ecumenical service to be held at St. Thomas Anglican Church in Grand Turk.The Heritage Month list of events also includes: fine art and culinary exhibitions and competitions, performing arts exhibitions, beach family fun day, Gospel concerts, a symposium at the Gus Lightbourne Sports Complex which will be dedicated to the late Rev. Dr. Conrad Howell. Howell was scheduled to be the first speaker on the program.Min. Smith encourages full participation in the cultural extravaganza. last_img read more

Zuckerberg says he wants Facebook to work in your best interest

first_img Mark Zuckerberg 1 Share your voice Mark Zuckerberg has embarked on his 2019 personal challenge. James Martin/CNET Facebook CEO and founder Mark Zuckerberg posted the first video of his personal challenge for 2019.Zuckerberg, who sets a challenge for himself every year, such as writing an AI program to control his house, said his latest goal is to “get out and have a series of discussions on the future of technology and the internet, and how that’s going to affect our society.”In a video posted Wednesday, he visited Harvard Law School and spoke with professor Jonathan Zittrain for nearly two hours on subjects like augmented reality, content review and the challenge of the news feed. “We now have more than 30,000 people working on content review and safety review,” Zuckerberg said during the discussion. “Regardless of how much training they have, we’re going to make mistakes.”He also talked with Zittrain about ethical questions around ranking items that’re shown in people’s news feed on Facebook.”We come in every day and think, ‘Hey, we’re building a service where we’re ranking news feed trying to show people the most relevant content,'” Zuckerberg said. “[We make] an assumption that’s backed by data that, in general, people want us to show them the most relevant content. But at some level you could ask the question which is, ‘Who gets to decide that ranking news feed or showing relevant ads or any of the other things that we choose to work on are actually in people’s interest?'” Tech Industry Tags Commentlast_img read more